三峡库区奉节大河沟口滑坡治理工程可靠性评价-地质工程专业论文.docx

西南交通大学硬士研究生学位论文 西南交通大学硬士研究生学位论文 第1I页 Abstract Security is one of the most important indexes of performance for landslide engineering．Thou曲usually the method of coefficient of safety Can be used to appraise the security of landslide，it cannot express the SeCUrhy and the risk extend of landslide quantitatively,and cannot indicate the acceptable risk level for landslide． The variability of uncertainty is the intrinsic characteristic of geotechnical engineering．In order to evaluate quantitatively the security of landslide，the analytical method based on the reliability and probability has emerged with the times require．The reliability degree is the quantitative rule to express the security of landslide in the form of probability． There are a large number of uncertain factors in geotechnical engineering， and research objects are diverse．So it’S improper to study geoteclmical engineering throu班the certain theory．Therefore it is positive to do research through the random theory．Compared with the method of coefficient of safety and other methods，the method of reliability analysis for landslide can explain the influence extent of all kinds of uncertainty On the landslide，and Carl deal with these uncertainties morc effectively and appropriately．Because an of the uncertain parameters are regarded as random variables and the statistical method is utilized to estimate their general characteristics in the method of reliability analysis，this is comparatively suitable for the realistic phenomenon． Taking the landslide occurring in Fengiie in the arg．a of the Yangtse Gorges as an the example，firstly this paper gains the statistics characteristic of physical and mechanical parameters of landslide，utilizing experimental data and other scholar’S achievement．Secondly Oil the base of the function of the landslide sliding limit equilibrium,the reliability of the landslide has been calculated and analyzed through applying general method of the test point．Lastly comparing the slide-resistan