老年人对社会照顾方式偏好的影响因素分析-人口与经济.pdf

2006 3 No. 3, 2006 ( 156 ) POPULATION ECONOMICS (Tot. No. 156) 老年人对社会照顾方式偏好的影响因素分析 以浙江省为例 蒋岳祥, 斯 雯 ( , 310027) : 本文利用浙江省老龄科学研究中心2004 年4 月对浙江省5 个城市老年人养老 愿做的调查数 据, 对老年人对生活照顾方式的偏好做分析采用多变量logi tic 模型分析 个人特征家庭状况身体 状况经济状况四个因素对老年人照顾方式选择的影响作用家庭状况对老年人照顾方式的选择最为 显著, 身体状况和经济状况也有比较显著的影响, 但 个人特征对老年人对照顾方式的选择没有明显的 影响在此基础上笔者对未来老年人的照顾方式作预测, 发现非正式照顾的选择有所下降, 正式照顾 以及居家养老逐渐得到老年人的青睐 : 老年人; 正式照顾; 非正式照顾; 居家养老 : C9136 : A : 1000- 4149 ( 2006) 03- 0008- 05 Analysis of the Factors Influencing on Elder s Preferences for Social Care Empirical Evidence from Zhejiang Province JIANG Yue-xiang, SI Wen ( Economic In titute, Zhejiang Univer ity, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310027) Abstract : The paper make an empirical analy i on the elder preference for ocial care by utilizing the ob ervation data collected by ZRCA from 5 citie in Zhejiang province in April of 2004Mult-i variable logi tic regre ion model i adopted to analy i the influential action of individuali tic feature , family condition, phy ical condition and economic tatu on the choice of taking care of elder The re ult how that family condition ha a ignificant effect on the elder choice, phy ical condition and economic tatu al o have ome effect, while individuali tic feature ha le effect . The paper al o predict the elder choice in the future ba ed on the model It i predicted that the proportion of informal care will decrea e and more elder will take formal care and in-home care Keywords: elder; formal care; informal care; in-home care 20 90 , , , ,