2018年一次严重持续性雾-霾天气成因分析-气象.docVIP

2018年常州一次罕见持续性雾-霾天气分析 雷正翠1郑媛媛2刘银峰3孙康远2 何涛5 刘端阳2 吴晶璐1周文君4 （1 江苏省常州市气象局 中国气象局交通气象重点开放实验室，常州 213022 2 江苏省气象局，南京 210008 3 浙江省景宁县气象局，景宁323500 4 江苏省盐城市气象局，盐城224005 5 江苏省常州市环境监测中心，常州 213001） 提要：2018年11月24日-12月3日夜间常州出现持续11d的强浓雾和严重霾天气，利用常规气象观测资料、海军航空兵91079部队气象台提供的02时探空资料、风廓线雷达资料及常州市环境监测中心提供的污染物浓度及AQI资料、NCEP再分析资料等，对这次罕见的持续性严重雾-霾天气过程进行了分析。结果表明：（1）此次雾-霾过程持续时间长、范围广、强度大、污染重。（2）中纬度地区高层持续纬向环流控制、中低层暖脊稳定存在，地面持续受均压场或弱倒槽顶部、弱冷锋前部影响，是这次持续性雾-霾过程的重要天气条件。（3）边界层内弱辐散、负涡度及弱的下沉气流是此次雾-霾天气得以长时间维持、发展的动力因子。近地层长时间水汽饱和且维持小风速利于雾-霾的长时间维持。（4）近地面高强度的贴地逆温长时间维持和持续较低的混合层高度是此次雾-霾的形成、发展和长时间维持的重要热力条件。雾比霾的平均混合层高度明显偏低且霾等级越高混合层高度越低，混合层高度的变化先于能见度变化，对雾-霾临近预警有较好的指导作用。（5）弱冷空气渗透、风速适当增加、混合层的先期快速下降、负净辐射曝辐量绝对值的明显增大是雾爆发性增强的主要 关键词：持续雾-霾，气象要素，污染物，逆温层，混合层高度，风廓线，爆发性增强 Analysis on the Causes of a Severe Continuous Fog and Haze Weather in Changzhou 2018 LEI Zhengcui1 ZHENG Yuanyuan2 LIU Yinfeng3 SUN Kangyuan2 HE Tao 5 LIU Duanyang2 WU Jinglu1 ZHOU Wenjun1 (1. Changzhou Meteorological Bureau, Key Laboratory of Transportation Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration, Changzhou, 213022; 2. Jiangsu Meteorological Bureau, 210008; 3. Jingning County 4. Yancheng Meteorological Bureau, Yancheng, 224005; 5. Changzhou Environmental Monitoring Center,Changzhou, 213001) Abstract: Using conventional meteorological observation data, sounding data provided by the meteorological observatory of the Navy Air Force 91079,wind profile radar data and pollutant concentration and AQI data provided by Changzhou Environmental reanalysis data, the causes of a severe persistent fog-haze weather in the central and eastern part of China from November 24 to December 3, 2018 were analyzed. The results showed that this fog-haze process lasted a long time with wide scope, large intensity and heavy pollution. The upper latitudinal circulation was dominant in the upper latitudes during the fog-haze periods, and the warm ridges of varying degrees in the middle and lower layers were stable. The surface was continuously affected by the unif