基于参考依赖法的出行者日常路径选择行为建模.PDFVIP

第9 卷　第1 期 交 通 运 输 工 程 学 报 Vol.9　No.1 2009 年2 月 Journal of T raffic and Transportation Engineering Feb.2009 :1671-16 7(2009)01-0096-04 1 2 1 范文博 , 李志纯, 蒋葛夫 (1. , 　6100 1;2. , 　4 0074) 　:为研究旅行时间不确 环境下出行者动态调节日常路径选择的行为特征, 基于参考依赖行 为理论建立了随机路网用户日常路径选择行为模型。 引入了基于参考依赖的路径负效用, 并设出 行者每天的路径选择行为服从基于Logit 模型的决策过程, 给出了保持每日网络均衡的出行者日 常旅行行为演化模型, 分析了模型的稳 性, 并利用相继平均法与Logit 配流技术相结合的启发式 算法进行求解。计算结果表明:路网的流量分布和出行者的参考点在 一 的时间范围内将达到稳 状态, 此时, 传统的期望效用模型将低估总网络用户成本和高估由通行能力改善或拥挤收费政策 所带来的收益, 总量上达1%左右。 :交通网络;日常路径选择;参考依赖理论;损失规避;不动点模型;学习机制 :U491.1　　　:A Modeling of commuters day-to-day route choice behaviors based on reference-dependent approach 1 2 1 FAN Wen-bo , LI Zhi-chun , JIANG Ge-fu (1.School of T raffic and Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 6100 1, Sichuan, China; 2.School of M anagement, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 4 0074, H ubei, China) Abstract:In order to investigate commuters day-to-day route choice behaviors under travel time uncertainty, a novel model w as presented based on reference-dependent approach, a reference- dependent route disutility function w as introduced, and commuters day-to-day route choice behaviors obeyed the decision process based on logit model, a day-to-day evolution model of route choice w as proposed, in w hich the equilibrium for every day s route choice w as kept .The stability of evolution model w as analyzed and solved by a heuristic solution algorithm combining the method of successive averages w ith logit assignment technique.Analysis result show s that netw ork flow