ansys汶川地震的发生对周围断层影响的数值模拟研究.docVIP

汶川地震的发生对周围断层影响的数值模拟研究 李玉江,陈连旺,陆远忠,詹自敏 中国地震局地壳应力研究所, 100085 [ 摘 要 ] 基于川西 -藏东地区三维粘弹性有限元模型,以 GPS 和震源机制解作为约束条件,利 用汶川地震同震静态位移量结果, 在考虑地形差异和粘弹性松弛等因素的影响下, 研 究汶川地震的发生造成周围主要断层库仑破裂应力变化。研究结果表明:1汶川地 震的发生除造成震源区同震库仑破裂应力减小外, 还造成断裂带两端不同程度的应力 增加, 尤其是断裂带北东段, 这与震后较强的余震分布基本吻合。 断层面上库仑破裂 应力的变化与静态位移量的分布存在一定的关系, 静态位移量的高值区对应库仑破裂 应力减小的区域。 2汶川地震的发生显著增加了鲜水河断裂北西段、东昆仑断裂、 龙日坝断裂、岷江断裂以及虎牙断裂库仑应力水平,将提升这些断层面上发震概率。 3鲜水河断裂带作为菱形块体北部的一条强震活动频发区域,受汶川地震影响较为 显著,地震的发生造成断裂带强震复发间隔缩短约 52~104a ,是未来值得重点关注的 强震危险区。 [ 关键词 ]川西藏东地区,龙门山断裂带,汶川地震,库仑应力变化,数值模拟 Numerical Simulation Research on effect of the surrounding faults induced by the Ms8.0 Wenchuan earthquake , Sichuan , China LI Yu-Jiang, CHEN Lian-Wang, Lu Yuan-Zhong, ZHAN Zi-Min Institute of Crustal Dynamics, CEA , Beijing 100085, China [ Abstract ] In this paper, with GPS and focal mechanism constraints, utilizing the findings of co-seismic static slip distribution, and taking the terrain variance and post-seismic relaxation effect into consideration, we employed the three dimensional viscoelastic model of western Sichuan and eastern Tibet regions to calculate the Coulomb failure stress accumulation rate on the major active faults and the dynamic stress change caused by the Wenchuan earthquake. Our results indicated that:1 The Wenchuan earthquake not only caused the Coulomb stress decrease in the source region, but also the stress increase in the two-terminal, easpecially the northeastern segment, and it’s comparatively consistent with the aftershock distrbution. Meanwhile , the high concentration area of the static slip distrbution was corresponding to the Coulomb stress reduction. 2The Coulomb stress change caused by Wenchuan earthquake showed significant increase on five major fault segments , which were northwestern segment of Xianshui fault、 Eastern Kunlun fault、 Longriba fault、 Minjiang fault and Huya fault respectively, and these faults need to be preferentially concentrated in the future. 3 As the northern boundary of the Sichuan-Yunnan rhombic block, th