绿色作物种植：实现路径及主要进展.pptx

绿色作物种植：实现路径及主要进展;主要挑战：作物生产投入大、环境排放高，现有技术创新无法满足生态涵养及绿色发展需要;绿色种植总体框架及主要内容;一、建立环境卡口、实现区域限量 二、定量生产潜力、建立调控策略 三、建立创新联盟、协同高产绿色;一、建立环境卡口、实现区域限量 二、定量作物潜力、调控作物体系 三、建立创新联盟、协同高产绿色;Planetary boundary 星球边界理论;NO3- leaching with soil, managements and climate;Data sources;1. NO3- leaching with soil, managements and climate;2. Simulated NO3- leaching using RF model;County-level Soil properties, climate factors, N management of the input variable ;(A) (B);(Keuskamp et al., 2012);4. Mitigation Strategies to meet food demand and groundwater safety;Take Quzhou as an example;一、建立环境卡口、实现区域限量 二、定量生产潜力、建立调控策略 三、建立创新联盟、协同高产绿色;定量产量潜力、产量差、效率差及技术差;挑战：实现我国玉米、大豆绿色可持续供应;;技术难点 II:准确定量技术潜力及农户生产能力;技术难点 III:未来缩小产量差必须环境可持续同步！ ;Hybrid-maize model;我国县级高产玉米最优管理参数;我国县级高产大豆最优管理参数;我国玉米、大豆县域产量潜力（2005-2014）;我国玉米、大豆县域当前产量（2005-2014）;a;高产农户产量潜力实现度 （2005-2014）;高产农户增产同时，氮肥用量并无大幅度增加;缩减产量差与环境可持续能否同步？;2030年实现玉米、大豆可持续供应情景模式;通过技术贮备实现产量潜力;一、建立环境卡口、实现区域限量 二、定量作物潜力、调控作物体系 三、建立创新联盟、协同高产绿色;理论设想：中国由小农户向可持续农业生产的实现途径;当前现状分析：N balance of main crops in China;County N input (a-d) and output (e-h) per unit of land for cereals, fruits, vegetables, and other crops from 2005 to 2014 with national survey. n = number of counties denoted.;Figure 2 | County N balance for crops in China. a, cereals (n=1950). b, fruits (n=368). c, vegetables (n=405). d, other crops (n=1,358). The n in parenthesis indicates the number of counties denoted. ;Item;问题1：高产高效农户是否增加其他生产投入？;问题2：高产高效农户是否达到产量顶点（潜力）？;The grain yield and N productivity of maize in Lishu county and of wheat in Quzhou county for different groups of farmers. n indicates the number of farmers.;农户特征分析：合作社成员或组织能力较强的农户有助于增产增效 ;Categorical variables included gender of the farmer (male = 1, fame = 0), corporative member (yes = 1, no = 0), and network (member of the political party or village committing = 1, member of both political party and village committing = 2, member of neither political party nor village committing = 0). Incom