09年美国大学生数学建模大赛C题outstanding.pdf

Rebalancing 121 Rebalancing Human-Influenced Ecosystems YuanSi Zhang ShuoPeng Wang Ning Cui Dept. of Mathematics China University of Mining and Technology Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China Advisor: Xingyong Zhang Summary In Task 1,we establish a Volterra predator-prey model with three bio- logical populations, and we specify the steady-state numbers of the three populations. Then, based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process and a competi- tion model, we obtain the ratio of different species in the second population, predict that the steady-state level of water quality is not high, and make the water quality satisfactory by adjusting the numbers of six species. In Task 2, when milkfish farming suppresses other animal species, we set up a logistic model, and predict that the water quality at steady-state is awful, the same as in the fish pens-insufficient for the continued healthy growth of coral species. When other species are not totally suppressed, with an improved predator-prey model we simulate the water quality of Bolinao (makingit match current quality), obtainpredicted numbers ofpop- ulations, and discuss changes to the predator-prey model aimed atmaking the numbers of the populations agree more closely with observations. In Task 3, we establish a polyculture model that reflects an interdepen- dent set of species, introduce mussels and seaweed growing on the sides of the pens, and obtain the numbers of populations in steady state and the outputs of our model. In Tasks 4 and 5, we differentiate the monetary values of different kinds edible biomass and define the total value as the sum of the values of each species harvested, minus the cost of milkfish feed. Under circumstances The UMAPJournal30 (2) (2009)121-139. QCopyright2009byCOMAP, Inc. All rights reserved. Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or al