中国恩格尔系数的计量分析.pdf

中国恩格尔系数的计量分析 内容摘要 恩格尔系数是衡量民众生活水平和经济发展程度的统计指标之一。我国自改革开放 以来，随着经济的高速发展，人民越来越富裕，生活水平越来越高。在人均可支配收入 增长的同时，恩格尔系数也划出了一条由高到低的轨迹。本文初衷是论述个人可支配收 入与恩格尔系数的关系，但是随着探讨的深入，不断加入新的解释变量，并利用我国 31 个省市的横截面数据建立了一个恩格尔系数的一元回归模型，并对模型不断修正，得出 的恩格尔系数计算式能更好的衡量居民生活水平和质量。并算出了我国农村部分省市修 正后的恩格尔系数，为政府工作人员制定发展政策提供了理论依据。并且得出结论用修 正恩格尔系数代替恩格尔系数的新模型拟合程度更好。 关键词：恩格尔系数 线性回归 食品支出 修正恩格尔系数 1 Econometric Analysis of Engel's Coefficient in china Abstract Engel's Coefficient is a measure of people's living standards and economic development level of statistical indicators. Since China's reform and opening up ,along with rapid economic development,people are getting richer and richer,living standards are increasing.In the per capita disposable income growing,the engel coefficient to draw a trajectory from high to low.This original purpose is to address personal disposable income and the relationship between the Engel's coefficient, but as to explore in-depth, constantly adding new explanatory variables, and use our 31 provinces and municipalities set up a cross-sectional data Engel coefficient of a regression model, and continually revised the model has reached the Engel's coefficient calculation formula can be a better measure of living standards and quality. And calculate the part of China's rural provinces revised Engel coefficient for the government staff development