Recent A dvanced in Causal Modelling Using Directed Graphs精品管理文档.pptVIP

Outline Motivation Representation Discovery Using Regression for Causal Discovery 1. Motivation Non-experimental Evidence Typical Predictive Questions Can we predict aggressiveness from Day Care Can we predict crime rates from abortion rates 20 years ago Causal Questions: Does attending Day Care cause Aggression? Does abortion reduce crime? Causal Estimation Manipulated Probability P(Y | X set= x, Z=z) from Unmanipulated Probability P(Y | X = x, Z=z) Conditioning vs. Intervening 2. Representation Representing causal structure, and connecting it to probability Modeling Interventions C