风险管理软件crystalball使用指导.docxVIP

Monte-Carlo Simulation with Crystal Ball To run a simulation using Crystal Ball: 1. Setup Spreadsheet Build a spreadsheet that will calculate the performance measure ., profit) in terms of the inputs (random or not). For random inputs, just enter any number. 2. Define Assumptions—., random variables Define which cells are random, and what distribution they should follow. 3. Define Forecast—., output or performance measure Define which cell(s) you are interested in forecasting (typically the performance measure, ., profit). 4. Choose Number of Trials Select the number of trials. If you would l