剥离线损电量的工业用电量统计方法研究解析工业用电与增加值增速偏离之谜.pdf

Journal of Low Carbon Economy 低碳经济 , 2018, 7(3), 67-76 Published Online August 2018 in Hans. /journal/jlce /10.12677/jlce.2018.73008 Research on the Statistical Method of the Industrial Electricity Consumption Excluding Line Loss — Resolving Puzzle of the Deviation Relationship between the Growth Rate of Electricity Consumption of Industry and the Industrial Value-Added Jindian Lu 1, Chengmei Zhang 2 , Yu Chen 3 , Shengnan Xing 4 1 State Grid Anhui Electric Power Company, Hefei Anhui 2 Bureau of Statistics of Anhui Province, Hefei Anhui 3 State Grid Anhui Economic Research Institute, Hefei Anhui 4 Beijing Economy World Research Institute, Beijing rd th th Received: Jun. 23 , 2018; accepted: Jul. 9 , 2018; published: Jul. 17 , 2018 Abstract Based on the analysis of the intension meaning of line loss, this paper finds that the line loss will appear violent fluctuations with the temperature severe change, because of the supply and sale of electricity meter reading cycle of resident sector and territory industry difference. In order to make full use of the economic barometer of the consumption of electricity of industry, the combi- nation of qualitative and quantitative analysis is employed in this paper. Moreover, the impact of temperature on the electricity of line loss and the industry is calculated. The results of this paper are as follows: 1) there is a notable positive correlation between temperature load and line loss; 2) the deviation relationship between the growth rate of electricity consumption of industry and the industrial value-added almost entirely disappears, when the line