物流需求预测培训课程.pptx

第二章 物流需求预测;本章主要内容;第一节 物流需求预测;一、物流需求分析;一、物流需求分析;一、物流需求分析;一、物流需求分析;一、物流需求分析;二、物流需求预测的作用;三、物流需求预测的特点;四、物流需求预测的内容 ;五、物流需求预测的流程 ;第二节 常用预测方法简介;一、定性预测法;（一）德尔菲法;（一）德尔菲法;（二）其他定性预测方法;二、定量预测方法;（三）回归预测法;（三）回归预测法;（三）回归预测法;（三）回归预测法;（三）回归预测法;（三）回归预测法;（三）回归预测法;第三节 宏观物流需求预测;一、宏观物流需求分析;一、宏观物流需求分析;二、宏观物流需求的预测方法 ;三、宏观物流需求预测举例;三、宏观物流需求预测举例;回归统计;三、宏观物流需求预测举例;第四节 微观物流需求预测;一、 微观物流需求分析;二、微观物流需求的预测方法;三、微观物流需求预测举例;三、微观物流需求预测举例;第五节 物流需求预测中的一些问题 ;五、物流需求预测中的一些问题;1、Genius only means hard-working all ones life. (Mendeleyer, Russian Chemist)? 天才只意味着终身不懈的努力。20.8.58.5.202011:0311:03:10Aug-2011:03 2、Our destiny offers not only the cup of despair, but the chalice of opportunity. (Richard Nixon, American President )命运给予我们的不是失望之酒，而是机会之杯。二〇二〇年八月五日2020年8月5日星期三 3、Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet. (Jean Jacques Rousseau , French thinker)忍耐是痛苦的，但它的果实是甜蜜的。11:038.5.202011:038.5.202011:0311:03:108.5.202011:038.5.2020 4、All that you do, do with your might; things done by halves are never done right. ----R.H. Stoddard, American poet做一切事都应尽力而为，半途而废永远不行8.5.20208.5.202011:0311:0311:03:1011:03:10 5、You have to believe in yourself. Thats the secret of success. ----Charles Chaplin人必须相信自己，这是成功的秘诀。-Wednesday, August 5, 2020August 20Wednesday, August 5, 20208/5/2020 6、Almost any situation---good or bad---is affected by the attitude we bring to. ----Lucius Annaus Seneca差不多任何一种处境---无论是好是坏---都受到我们对待处境态度的影响。11时3分11时3分5-Aug-208.5.2020 7、Although the world is full of suffering, it is full also of the overcoming of it.----Hellen Keller, American writer虽然世界多苦难，但是苦难总是能战胜的。20.8.520.8.520.8.5。2020年8月5日星期三二〇二〇年八月五日 8、For man is man and master of his fate.----Tennyson人就是人，是自己命运的主人11:0311:03:108.5.2020Wednesday, August 5, 2020 9、When success comes in the door, it seems, love often goes out the window.-----Joyce Brothers成功来到门前时，爱情往往就走出了窗外。11:038.5.202011:038.5.202011:0311:03:108.5.202011:038.5.2020 10、Life is measured by thought and action, not by time. ——Lubbock 衡量生命的尺度是思想和行为，而不是时间。8.5.20208.5.202011:0311:0311:03:1011:0