美国企业研究所-1950-2040年全球高等教育人力分布的变化：发现和影响（英）.pdfVIP

The Changing GI。bal Distributi。n 。f Highly Educated Manp。wer, 1950-2040 Findi 「1 gs and Implications Nich。las Eberstadt with Evan Abramsk.y APRIL2022 AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE Cover image: Xiamen University at night. Xiamen, Fuji矶 ， China Image from Wikimedia Commons by user 周流劲火． 。2022 by the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research. All rights reserved. The American Enterprise Institute (AEI) is a nonpartisan, nonpro缸， 501(c)(3) educational organization and does not take institutional posi­ tions on any issues. The views expressed here are those of the author(s). American Enterprise Institute 1789 Massachusetts Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20036 \I\I\W1. Executive Summa叮 j\ round the world, educational attainment has 1isen much more rapidly I--i.. than population over the past three postwar generations. Although global population growth is slo,ving， 也e tempo of educations expansion 飞时 rem创n far higher than natural population increase eve巧where far into the future. At the national level, 1ising educational attainment translates into enhanced economic potential-and 由usenhanced defense potential. Throughout the Cold 飞Nar,America enjoyed one of the world’s high­ est levels of educational attainment and accounted for far more of the worlds highly educated manpower than any other country. But that epoch is now history. An incr巳asing number of countries are overtaking the US in schooling, partially reflecting a gradual, largely unnoticed slowdown in the growth of educational attainment at home. T