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BIS Working Papers No 980 What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation? by Emanuel Kohlscheen Monetary and Economic Department November 2021 (this version February 2022) JEL classification: E27, E30, E31, E37, E52, F41. Keywords: expectations, forecast, inflation, machine learning, oil price, output gap, Phillips curve. BIS Working Papers are written by members of the Monetary and Economic Department of the Bank for International Settlements, and from time to time by other economists, and are published by the Bank. The papers are on subjects of