博弈翻译分析和总结.docx

Motivation and Decision Theory Markus M. Mobius February 7, 2004 Two Motivating Experiments Experiment 1 Each of you (the students in this course) have to declare an integer between 0 and 100 to guess ”2/3 of the average of all the responses”.More precisely, each student who guesses the highest integer which is not higher than 2/3 of the average of all responses, will receive a prize of 10Dollars.How should you play this game? A naive guess would be that other players choose randomly a strategy. In that case the mean in the game would be around 50 and you should choose 33. But you realize that