负排放案例：呼吁立即采取行动（英）-144正式版.ppt

NCS—sustainable potential About 20–25% of the 2030 NCS potential lies in the Global North— most of the remainder is concentrated in a few tropical countries Reforestation Soil carbon in croplands Trees in cropland Coastal wetland restoration Natural forest management Global NCS sustainable potential Gt CO2/yr, mid points for stacked bars, full range for bar totals 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2-5 0.2 0.3 0.5 1-3 0.6 0.1 0.3 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 0.5 0.4 1.9 0.9 2030 2050 Potential as a share of country GHG emissions, % Potential as share of global NCS removal potential % x 20 x 1020 x 510 x 5 i.e., number refers to global contribution to NCS, colour demonstrates how much NCS the country contributes to NCS versus its contribution to global CO2 emissions What is represented on the map: Countries with a share of NCS potential that is ≥1% Russia 7 2 Canada Ukraine 1 Kazakhstan EU 4 1 10 US 2 Turkey 1 Myanmar (Burma) 4 China Mexico 2 1 Laos India 6 1 Thailand 1 Venezuela Indonesia 3 Colombia Peru 1 Papua New Guinea DRC 1 1 Mozambique Tanzania 1 1 1 Angola 1 8 Bolivia 3 Brazil Paraguay Argentina 8 Madagascar 3 Australia 1 3 Chile 1 Source: McKinsey Nature Analytics. For technical potential: FAO FRA (2015), FAOSTAT, Global Mangrove Watch, Bastin et al. (2019), Busch et al. (2019), Chapman et al. (2020), Cook-Patton et al. 2020, Griscom et al. (2017), Griscom et al. (2020), Poeplau Don (2015), Runck et al. (2020), Pendleton et al. (2012), Veldman et al. (2019). For GHG emissions by country: Climate Analysis Indicators Tool (CAIT), Climate Watch (2018) 80 NCS—sustainable potential Technical potential differs across the different solutions and geographies Global CO2 abatement potential from reforestation, tn CO2/ha/yr Global CO2 abatement potential from trees on croplands, tn CO2/ha/yr 4 8 0–0.0001 0.0001–0.001 0.001–0.005 0.005–0.01 0.01–0.015 0.015–0.025 0.025–0.0627 12 16 20 There are significant variations by region and forest type, e.g.,: Boreal forests: 3–5 tn CO2/ha/year Rainforests: