从四川高温干旱限电事件看新型电力系统保供挑战与应对展望.pdfVIP

第 43 卷 第 12 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.43 No.12 Jun. 20, 2023 2023 年 6 月 20 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2023 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 4517 DOI ：10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222971 文章编号：0258-8013 (2023) 12-4517-21 中图分类号：TM 73 文献标识码：A 从四川高温干旱限电事件看新型电力系统 保供挑战与应对展望 高红均，郭明浩，刘俊勇，刘挺坚，贺帅佳 (四川大学电气工程学院，四川省 成都市 610065) Power Supply Challenges and Prospects in New Power System from Sichuan Electricity Curtailment Events Caused by High-temperature Drought Weather GAO Hongjun, GUO Minghao, LIU Junyong, LIU Tingjian, HE Shuaijia (College of Electrical Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, Sichuan Province, China) ABSTRACT: In August 2022, Sichuan suffered a wide range 摘要：2022 年 8 月，四川遭遇大范围长时间极端高温干旱 of long-term extreme high temperature and drought weather, 天气，从而面临“三最”叠加的局面，即历史同期最高极端 thus facing the “Three Most” superposition of the situation; 温度、最少降水量、最高电力负荷。四川水电大幅减发，而 that is, the highest extreme temperature, the least precipitation, 负荷又急剧攀升，造成较大的电力供需缺口，继而发生严峻 and the highest power load. The substantial reduction of 的应急限电事件，引起业界广泛关注。基于此，从高温干旱 hydropower and the sharp rise of load have resulted in a large 极端天气出发，剖析了四川限电事件的关键影响因素，并着 power supply and demand gap, which led to severe emergency 重对四川源网荷储灵活性资源进行了深入分析。其次，从电 electricity curtailment event. This event caused widespread 力保供维度归纳了新型电力系统电源侧随机化、电网侧互联 concern in the industry. Therefore, this paper analyzes the key 化、负荷侧电气化、灵活资源市场化与运行控制智能化等多 influencing factors of the Sichuan electricity curtailment event 维特征。进一步，从规划、运行、交易、政策 4 个层面研判 from the perspective of extreme high-temperature and drought 新能源占比逐渐提高的新型电力系统将面临的保供挑战。最 weather, and focuses on an in-depth