三峡库区塘角村1号滑坡模拟试验及预报判据研究的中期报告.docxVIP

三峡库区塘角村1号滑坡模拟试验及预报判据研究的中期报告 题目：三峡库区塘角村1号滑坡模拟试验及预报判据研究的中期报告 摘要： 本研究通过采用物理试验的方法，从宏观上模拟了塘角村1号滑坡的滑动过程，并配合实际观测数据，对该滑坡进行了初步的预报。 试验结果表明，塘角村1号滑坡的滑动过程可以分为三个阶段：静力平衡阶段、失稳前的破坏性变形阶段和失稳阶段。其中，失稳前的破坏性变形阶段是该滑坡的关键期，破坏性变形贯穿了整个滑动过程。 根据试验结果以及实际观测数据，我们提出了塘角村1号滑坡的预报判据，包括上盘变形速率、滑坡体变形量、变形形态以及地下水位等多个指标。通过对这些指标的监测和分析，可以及早发现并预测滑坡失稳的可能性，从而采取相应的治理措施，降低滑坡给当地造成的损失及危害。 关键词：塘角村1号滑坡；物理试验；预报判据；失稳前破坏性变形阶段。 Abstract: In this study, the physical experiment method was used to simulate the sliding process of the Tangjiao Village No.1 landslide on a macroscopic level, and combined with actual observation data, the initial prediction of the landslide was carried out. The experimental results showed that the sliding process of the Tangjiao Village No.1 landslide can be divided into three stages: static equilibrium stage, destructive deformation stage before instability, and instability stage. Among them, the destructive deformation before instability is the key period of the landslide, and the destructive deformation runs through the entire sliding process. Based on the experimental results and actual observation data, we propose prediction criteria for the Tangjiao Village No.1 landslide, including the deformation rate of the overlying plate, the deformation amount of the landslide body, the deformation morphology, and the groundwater level. By monitoring and analyzing these indicators, the possibility of landslide instability can be detected and predicted early, and corresponding control measures can be taken to reduce the losses and hazards caused by the landslide to the local area. Keywords: Tangjiao Village No.1 landslide; physical experiment; prediction criteria; destructive deformation before instability.