ICU获得性肌无力风险预测模型的构建及应用 .pdfVIP

ICU获得性肌无力风险预测模型的构建及应用--第1页

护理研究2023年8月第37卷第15期（总第731期）·2673·

·科研论著·

ICU获得性肌无力风险预测模型的构建

及应用

1，2113451115*

杨霞，于红静，潘泽林，梁梓杨，叶敏怡，何志丽，梅楚楠，覃湘君，凌冬兰，陈利芬

1.广州医科大学附属第二医院，广东510260；2.中山大学护理学院；3.肇庆市第一人民医院；

4.广东省中西医结合医院；5.中山大学附属第一医院

Constructionandapplicationofriskpredictionmodelofintensivecareunit⁃acquiredweakness

YANGXia,YUHongjing,PANZelin,LIANGZiyang,YEMinyi,HEZhili,MEIChunan,QINXiangjun,

LINGDonglan,CHENLifen

TheSecondAffiliatedHospitalofGuangzhouMedicalUniversity,Guangdong510260China

CorrespondingAuthorCHENLifen,E⁃mail:******************

AbstractObjective：Toconstructriskpredictionmodelofintensivecareunit‐acquiredweakness，andtoverifyitsapplicationeffect.

Methods：Atotalof330ICUpatientsintheadultgeneralintensivecaredepartmentof4tertiarygradeAhospitalsinGuangdong

provincefromAugust2020toDecember2021，wereselectedasthestudyobjects，andpatientsdatawerecollectedbyself‐designed

casereportform.MultivariateLogisticregressionmethodwasusedtoconstructtheriskpredictionmodel，andthemodelwasverified

internallyandexternally.WeChatminiprogramandNomographbasedonLogisticregressionmodelweredeveloped.Results：Multivariate

LogisticregressionmodelincludedthelengthofstayinICU，mechanicalventilation，age，ventilatorusetimeandAPACHEⅡ.

Theinternalverificationresultsofthemodelshowedthattheareaunderthereceiveroperatingcharacteristiccurve（AUC）was0.879，

thesensitivitywas0.762，thespecificitywas0.838，andtheaccuracywas0.805.Externalverificationresultsshowedtha