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STRATEGYANDTHEINTERNET:TRENDSANDPREDICTIONSRealTechConferencePeterStanger

E-COMMERCEISDEAD“E-CommerceIsDead,LongLiveE-Commerce”-TheIndustryStandard,April2000“Going,Going,Gone:Business-to-ConsumerSectorGoesBust”-F,April2000“Canyoubuildabrandonlinesellingthird-partygoods?Theanswerisno,eventhougheveryoneusedtothinktheanswerwasyes”-BryanRutbert,WarburgDillonRead“Thelivingdeadhavegottenawaywithmurderbecausethepublicmarketshavefundedriskierventures.LookatA-ifcouldbethebiggestlivingdeadthepublicmarketshaveeverseen.”-WarrenPackard,DraperFisherJurvetson此文献由漂石()于互联网整理；版权原作者所有，特此免责；更多网络营销资料见下载频道；RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lm

TOMSIEBELCEO,SiebelSystems“Ifyoucan’tgenerateprofits,significantmarketshareandcustomersatisfaction,youreoutofbusiness.”“OntheB2Bexchangeside,Idon’tthinkanyonewillsurvive.Theyareallgone.”此文献由漂石()于互联网整理；版权原作者所有，特此免责；更多网络营销资料见下载频道；RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lm

THECAPITALMARKETSHADITALLWRONGTravelocityB$123BExpediaDEWebvanPricelineeBay$11.4BAmazonAllOtherAmazon此文献由漂石()于互联网整理；eBay版权原作者所有，特此免责；更多网络营销资料见下载频道；RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lm

ISTHEREVOLUTIONOVER?July28,1794此文献由漂石()于互联网整理；版权原作者所有，特此免责；更多网络营销资料见下载频道；RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lm

THEBUMPYRIDEOFECONOMICREVOLUTIONS1860--1925此文献由漂石()于互联网整理；版权原作者所有，特此免责；更多网络营销资料见下载频道；RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lm

FUNDAMENTALFORCESAREATWORKLowerprocessingcosts...…lowerstoragecosts...Index120$/MBWorkersperbushelofmanufacturedcottonEngland1770-83AverageHDsizeinPCatretail10080Harddrivesize(GB)PriceoftheModelTtouringcar1908-20(GB)60Cost($/MB)40PriceofCPU20computingpower$/MIPS1982-950177019101775178019151990192019951985…withincreasedthroughput...…andpowerfulnetworkeconomicsValue,100105FibercapacitycostValueincreasesasthesquareofconnections806040200ProfitLossCostincreaseslinearlywithconnections012345678910n此文献由漂石()于互联网整理；103ValueCos