麦圭根《管理经济学》英文版题库Chapter_5___Business_and_Economic_Forecasting.docxVIP

MultipleChoice

1.Time-seriesforecastingmodels:

a.areusefulwheneverchangesoccurrapidlyandwildly

b.aremoreeffectiveinmakinglong-runforecaststhanshort-runforecasts

c.arebasedsolelyonhistoricalobservationsofthevaluesofthevariablebeingforecasted

d.attempttoexplaintheunderlyingcausalrelationshipswhichproducetheobservedoutcomee.noneoftheabove

ANSWER:CPOINTS:1

DIFFICULTY:Easy

QUESTIONTYPE:MultipleChoice

HASVARIABLES:False

NATIONALSTANDARDS:UnitedStates-BPROG:AnalyticTOPICS:DeterministicTrendAnalysis

KEYWORDS:BLOOMS:Knowledge

DATECREATED:6/21/20168:58AM

DATEMODIFIED:6/21/20168:58AM

2.Theforecastingtechniquewhichattemptstoforecastshort-runchangesandmakesuseofeconomicindicatorsknownasleading,coincidentorlaggingindicatorsisknownas:

a.econometrictechniqueb.time-seriesforecastingc.opinionpolling

d.barometrictechnique

e.judgmentforecasting

ANSWER:d

POINTS:

DIFFICULTY:Easy

QUESTIONTYPE:MultipleChoice

HASVARIABLES:False

NATIONALSTANDARDS:UnitedStates-BPROG:AnalyticTOPICS:BarometricTechniques

KEYWORDS:BLOOMS:Knowledge

DATECREATED:6/21/20168:58AM

DATEMODIFIED:6/21/20168:58AM

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3.TheuseofquarterlydatatodeveloptheforecastingmodelY?=a+bY-1isanexampleofwhichforecastingtechnique?

a.Barometricforecastingb.Time-seriesforecastingc.Surveya