供需两侧低碳政策下汽车制造商价格博弈非线性演化研究.pdfVIP

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供需两侧低碳政策下汽车制造商价格博弈非线性演化研究

ResearchonNonlinearEvolutionofAutomobileManufacturersPriceGameunderLow-carbonPolicy

ofSupplyandDemandSide

赵丹ZHAODan曰郑芳悦ZHENGFang-yue曰薛婉婷XUEWan-ting

（安徽工业大学管理科学与工程学院，马鞍山243032）

（SchoolofManagementScienceandEngineering，AnhuiUniversityofTechnology，Maanshan243032，China）

摘要在汽车市场新旧动能转换阶段，本文考虑供需两侧不同产业政策背景，基于有限理性建立了动态Bertrand博弈模型，并将

分交易价格、碳税额、碳普惠收益等低碳政策因素纳入模型，分析其复合牵引作用。结果表明：淤供给侧双分和碳税政策的叠加应

分阶段实行，现阶段两项政策若同时实施则太过于激进，不利于汽车市场全面发展。于需求侧碳普惠政策对于汽车市场新旧动能转换

阶段的影响作用存在差异，因此政策的实施力度应根据市场情况进行动态调整。

Abstract:Inthetransitionphaseofnewandolddrivingforcesintheautomotivemarket,thispaperconsidersthedifferentindustrial

policybackgroundsonbothsupplyanddemandsides.AdynamicBertrandgamemodelisestablishedbasedonboundedrationality,and

incorporatelow-carbonpolicyrelatedfactorssuchascredittradingprices,carbontaxamounts,andcarboninclusivebenefitsintothemodel.

Italsoanalyzestheircombinedtraction.Theresultsshowthat:淤Thesuperpositionofsupply-sidedoublecreditpolicyandcarbontax

policyshouldbeimplementedinstages.Atpresent,ifthetwopoliciesareimplementedatthesametime,theywillbetooradical,whichis

notconducivetotheall-rounddevelopmentoftheautomobilemarket.于Theimpactofdemandsidecarboninclusivepoliciesonthe

transitionstageofnewandolddrivingforcesintheautomotivemarketvaries,sotheimplementationofpoliciesshouldbedynamically

adjustedaccordingtomarketconditions.

关键词价格竞争；双分政策；低碳政策；非线性演化；混沌控制

Keywords:pricecompetition；doublecreditpolicy；lowcarbon