贝恩公司BainCompany2030年基层医疗展望报告-创新模式改变行业格局英文版12页.pdf

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PrimaryCare2030:Innovative

ModelsTransformtheLandscape

Overthenextdecade,nontraditionalprimary

careproviderscouldcapturearound30%of

theUSmarket.

ByErinNey,MD,EricBerger,andSharonFry

PrimaryCare2030:InnovativeModelsTransformtheLandscape

AtaGlance

Newprimarycaremodelsfromnontraditionalplayers—suchasadvancedprimarycareproviders,

retailers,andpayers—aimtodelivermoreefficientcare,improvepatientoutcomes,andlower

costs.

By2030,theseinnovativereimbursement,care,andownershipmodelscouldcaptureasmuch

asathirdoftheUSprimarycaremarket.

Payers,healthsystems,andinvestorswillneedtomakestrategicchoicestodeterminewhereto

playandhowtowinoverthenextdecade.

Foradecadenow,primarycarehasseenasteadystreamofnewbusinessandclinicalmodels,

includingthosefromadvancedprimarycare(APC)providers,retailers,andpayers.By2030,the

spacewon’tlookthesameatall:Bainexpectsthesenontraditionalprimarycareproviderstomake

upasmuchasathirdofamarketthat,today,isstilldominatedbytraditionalprovidersinfee-for-

servicearrangements.

Consider,forexample,theentryofAPCdisrupterslikeOakStreetHealth,newretailerpartnerships

liketheonebetweenWalgreensBootsAllianceandVillageMD,andthelaunchofUnitedHealth

Group’sOptumCare.

Theseareharbingersofmoretocome:creative,innovativemodelsthatdelivermoreefficientcare,

improvepatientoutcomes,andlowertotalcosts.Overthecourseofthenextdecade,risingcosts,

consumerism,laborshortages,demographicshifts,anddigitaldisruptionwillcontinuetoalterthe

primarycarelandscape.Together,theseforcesarealreadyreshapingthefoundationsofprimary

care—includingreimbursement,care,andownershipmodels—usheringinaneweraofindus

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