参考学习资料 建模2024_MCM_Problem_C.pdfVIP

2024MCM

ProblemC:MomentuminTennis

Inthe2023WimbledonGentlemen’sfinal,20-year-oldSpanishrisingstarCarlosAlcaraz

defeated36-year-oldNovakDjokovic.ThelosswasDjokovic’sfirstatWimbledonsince2013

andendedaremarkablerunforoneoftheall-timegreatplayersinGrandSlams.

Thematchitselfwasaremarkablebattle.[1]Djokovicseemeddestinedtowineasilyashe

dominatedthefirstset6–1(winning6of7games).Thesecondset,however,wastenseand

finallywonbyAlcarezinatie-breaker7–6.Thethirdsetwasthereverseofthefirst,Alcaraz

winninghandily6–1.TheyoungSpaniardseemedintotalcontrolasthefourthsetstarted,but

somehowthematchagainchangedcoursewithDjokovictakingcompletecontroltowintheset6

–3.ThefifthandfinalsetstartedwithDjokoviccarryingtheedgefromthefourthset,butagain

achangeofdirectionoccurredandAlcarazgainedcontrolandthevictory6–4.Thedataforthis

matchisintheprovideddataset,“match_id”of“2023-wimbledon-1701”.Youcanseeallthe

pointsforthefirstsetwhenDjokovichadtheedgeusingthe“set_no”columnequalto1.The

incredibleswings,sometimesformanypointsorevengames,thatoccurredintheplayerwho

seemedtohavetheadvantageareoftenattributedto“momentum.”

Onedictionarydefinitionofmomentumis“strengthorforcegainedbymotionorbyaseriesof

events.”[2]Insports,ateamorplayermayfeeltheyhavethemomentum,or“strength/force”

duringamatch/game,butitisdifficulttomeasuresuchaphenomenon.Further,itisnotreadily

apparenthowvariouseventsduringthematchacttocreateorchangemomentumifitexists.

DataisprovidedforeverypointfromallWimbledon2023men’smatchesafterthefirst2

rounds.Youmaychoosetoincludeadditionalplayerinformationorotherdataatyourdiscretion,

butyoumustcomplet