库存优化策略与实践解析.pptVIP

Chapter5;5Modelsfor

UncertainDemand;51Uncertaintyinstocks;2.Meaningof“uncertainty”;3.Variabilitythat

esfromexternalcauses;(3)Leadtime

Therecanbemanystagesbtwdecisiontobuyanitemandactuallyhavingitavailableforuse

(4)Deliveries

Identificationofitem,sendingrightnumber,qualitycheck,damageorlossduringshipping;4.Leadtimedemand;512Uncertaindemand;;Problemsinvolved

;Solution;52Modelsfordiscretedemand;2.Assumptions;ExpectedprofitonQthunit

Probabilityofsellingunit*profitmadefromsellingit

=Prob(D≥Q)*(SP-UC)

Lossoneachunitscrapped,exp