美国数学建模竞赛特等奖论文——with Floyd A Traffic Flow Analysis of South Carolina Hurricane Evacuation【数学建模】.pdfVIP

Jamminí with Floyd 301 Jamminí with Floyd: A Traffic Flow Analysis of South Carolina Hurricane Evacuation Christopher Hanusa Ari Nieh Matthew Schnaider Harvey Mudd College Claremont, CA Advisor: Ran Libeskind-Hadas Introduction We analyze the 1999 Hurricane Floyd evacuation with a traffic-flow model, explaining the extreme congestion on I-26. Then we look at the new South Carolina Hurricane Evacuation Plan, which includes lane reversals. We analyze their effect; they would significantly benefit traffic leaving Charleston. With lane reversals, the maximum number of vehicles passing any point on I-26 is 6,000 cars/h. We develop two plans to evacuate the South Carolina coast: the first by geographic location, the second by license-plate parity. We explore the use of temporary shelters; we find that I-26 has sufficient capacity for oversized vehicles; and we determine the effects of evacuees from Georgia and Florida. Traffic Flow Model The following definitions and model are taken directly from Mannering and Kilareski [1990, 168ñ182]. The primary dependent variable is level of service (LOS), or amount of congestion, of a roadway. There are six different LOS conditions, A through F, with A being the least congested and F being the most congested. We focus on the distinction between levels E and F. c The UMAP Journal 22 (3) (2001) 301ñ310. Copyright 2001 by COMAP, Inc. All rights reserved. Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice. Abstracting with credit is permitted, but copyrights for components of this work owned by others than COMAP must be honored. To copy otherwise, to republish,