多态系统可靠性分析及在液压系统中的应用.pdfVIP

基于模糊贝叶斯网络的多态系统可靠性分析 * 及在液压系统中的应用 陈东宁1 姚成玉2 (1. 燕山大学河北省重型机械流体动力传输与控制重点实验室 秦皇岛 066004 ； 2. 燕山大学河北省工业计算机控制工程重点实验室 秦皇岛 066004) 摘要：为使贝叶斯网络能够对模糊信息和不确定信息进行处理，提出一种新的基于模糊贝叶斯网络的多态系统可靠性分析方 法。该方法将模糊集合理论引入到贝叶斯网络可靠性分析中，考虑部件故障状态、部件故障率的模糊性以及部件间故障逻辑 关系的不确定性，使贝叶斯网络具有处理模糊信息的能力。该方法采用模糊数描述系统和部件的故障状态，利用模糊子集描 述部件的故障率，运用贝叶斯网络的条件概率表描述部件间的不确定联系。最后将该方法应用到载重车液压悬挂系统的可靠 性分析实例中，分析结果表明该方法在进行系统可靠性分析时能够充分利用系统的模糊信息和不确定信息，从而提高系统可 靠性分析的效率。 关键词：模糊贝叶斯网络 多态 液压系统 可靠性分析 中图分类号：TH137 Reliability Analysis of Multi-state System Based on Fuzzy Bayesian Networks and Application in Hydraulic System CHEN Dongning1 YAO Chengyu2 (1. Key Lab of Heavy Machinery Fluid Power Transmission and Control of Hebei Province, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao 066004; 2. Key Lab of Industrial Computer Control Engineering of Hebei Province, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao 066004) Abstract: In order to make the Bayesian networks dealing with fuzzy and uncertain information, a new reliability analysis method of multi-state system based on fuzzy Bayesian networks is proposed. The fuzzy set theory is presented to Bayesian networks, and considering both the fuzziness of fault state and fault rate and the uncertainty of fault logical relationship between components, therefore the Bayesian networks are capable of handing the fuzzy information. The fault states of system and components are described by fuzzy numbers, fault rates are denoted by fuzzy subsets, and the relationship between components described as conditional probability table of Bayesian networks. At last, the method