工作报告（第18周）.pptVIP

工作报告（第18周） 唐晓静2014.1.4 上周计划 由于使用WRFV3.5.1版本在双层嵌套时，累计降水模拟的效果很好，因此，将在此基础上，对比分析控制试验与敏感性试验，考察“卡努”对北京降水的影响。 本周小结 WRFV3.5.1 Configuration 控制实验 敏感性实验 Initial time 2012/07/18/00 Z 2012/07/18/00 Z Domain 13.5 * 4.5 km 13.5 * 4.5 km Time step 30s 30s TC bogus Not used used 使用新的参数设计做了两组实验，实验还在转，具体参数设置如下： 下周计划 比较控制实验与敏感性实验结果（资料分辨率的限制，分析大尺度环流场的差异），初步分析卡努影响北京暴雨的途径（水汽输送）； 北京西南方向的低涡等中尺度天气系统对暴雨也有重要影响，需要用其他方法另作研究。 文献阅读 Numerical simulation of a heavy rainfall event in China during July 1998 (Naifang Bei et al,.2002, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys.) Based on a non-hydrostatic meso-scale model named ARPS and the regular observational data plus special observational data, the author made detailed analysis of the meso-beta-scale system in the heavy rainfall that occurred in Wuhan and Huangshi during July 1998. The horizontal convergence, ascending motion and positive vorticity of the middle and lower troposphere are found to be intensified during the heavy rainfall periods and wind disturbance may be a triggering mechanism. Finally, a corresponding three dimensional conceptual model was given. What inspired me was the method of budget analysis of the meso-scale system. Through the budget equations of moisture and vorticity, the sources of moisture and positive vorticity are found to be different during different stages of the meso-scale systems.