基于电力市场中国CCS商业运营模式及仿真研究.pdfVIP

基于电力市场的中国 CCS商业运营模式及仿真研究 基于电力市场的中国 CCS商业运营 模式及仿真研究 梁大鹏 (哈尔滨工业大学 经济与管理学院, 黑龙江哈尔滨 150001) : 本文以电力企业为核心分析了 CO 的 值链构成, 并在 CO 值链的基础上, 运用一般均衡模型设计 2 2 了 CCS的商业运营模式在一般均衡模型的基础上, 本文运用系统动力学的方法对商业运营系统了仿真模拟 根据模型及仿真结果, 提出碳排放税的制定煤电联动CDM 支持 CCS和存储地的类型确认是中国以商业化模 式推广 CCS最关键的 4个方面 : CCS; 值链;运营模式; 系统动力学 : F270 : A : 1002- 9753( 2009) 02- 0151- 13 Research on CCS Comm ercialM odel and Its System atic Sim ulation in China Based on E lectricityM arket L IANG Da- peng (S chool of E conom ics and M anagem en,t H arbin Institute of Technology, H arbin 150001, China) Abstract: On t e bas is of analyzing t e carbon d ioxide value c ain, t ispaper des igns a CCS comm ercial operation sys tem w it t e general equ ilibrium m odel ( GEM ). On t e base ofGEM, t is paper makes t e smi u lation of t e comm er cial system of CCS w it t e m et od of system dynam ics. A ccording to t e result, t e tax of CO2 em iss ion, electricity pricing depend on generation cost, CCS in CDM fram ework and qualified storage sites are key factors for CCS comm er cial dep loym ent in C ina. K ey words: CCS; value c ain; operation m ode;l system dynam ics , CCS( CO Capture and Storage, CCS) 2 , , CCS , CCS CCS, CCSS. Ju lio Friedma , nn [ 1] , CCS K eigo Ak mi oto : 2008- 10- 20 : 2009- 01- 20 : (QC08C72); (H IT. NSR IF. 2008. 59) : ( 1974- ), , , , , , :