河南省环境库兹涅茨曲线实证的研究.docVIP

第33卷第9期 2008年9月 环境科学与管理 ENVIRONMENTAL SC IENCE AND MANAGEMENT Vol133 No19 Sep. 2008 收稿日期: 2008 - 02 - 27 基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划) (2005CB121107) 作者简介:班春峰(1983 - ) ,男,河南省平顶山市人,南京农业大学公 共管理学院在读硕士研究生,研究方向:土地资源可持续 利用。 文章编号: 1673 - 1212 (2008) 09 - 0036 - 06 河南省环境库兹涅茨曲线的实证研究 班春峰1 ,徐梦洁1 ,赵紫玉1 ,刘勤2 (1. 南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210095; 2. 中科院南京土壤研究所,江苏南京210008) 摘　要:文章在总结国内外学者对EKC曲线研究的基础上,采用河南省1990年- 2006年的经济和环境数据, 建立了单位GDP污染物排放量模型和人均GDP污染物排放量模型,分析了典型环境指标与经济发展之间的关 系。结果表明,河南省环境状况和经济发展之间并不存在传统的库兹涅茨倒“U”型曲线,而是呈现“凹函数”和 三次曲线两种形式。由于河南省正处于工业化发展中期,为避免今后对环境造成不可逆转的危害,必须改变外 延扩张的发展模式,加大环保投资和加强执法力度。 关键词:环境库兹涅茨曲线;河南省;实证研究 中图分类号: X2 文献标识码:A An Emp irical Study on the Relationship Between Environmental Change and Economic Development in Henan Province Ban Chunfeng1 , XuMengjie1 , Zhao Ziyu1 , L iu Qin2 (1. College of PublicManagement, Nanjing AgriculturalUniversity, Nanjing 210095, China; 2. Institute of Soil Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China) Abstract:Based on the summarization of the documentations on environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in and abroad, an empiri2 cal study of Henan province during the period 1990 - 2006 was done. To analyze the relationship between environmental change and economic development, the pollutant discharge model per unit GDP and the pollutant discharge model per capita GDP were set up. The results showed that the concave curve and the cubic curve instead of the conventional invertedU - shaped EKC could be used to describe the relationship between environmental change and economic development in Henan p rovince. During the process of indus2 trialization, the economic expansionmode by simply increasing the input factor should be imp roved, the environmental investment be increased and the implementation of environmental laws be enforced in order to avoid the deterioration of environment. Key words: EKC; Henan p rovince; emp irical study 　　环境问题一直备受人们关注。伴随经济发展, 环境质量的变化趋势也是近年来学者研讨的热点。 20世纪90年代初美国经济学家Grossman和Krue2 ger提出了环境库兹涅茨曲线( EKC, Enviromental Kuzn