我国农村教育回报率变动及其涵义.pdfVIP

, Jou rn al o A nhu iA gr.i Sci. 2010, 38( 25) : 14152- 14 154 章炼红 卢瑶 李晓飞 ( , 100101) 利用2004和 2007年 2期的全国跟踪调查数据, 通过扩展的M incer 工资模型回归发现, 我国农 非农就业劳动力的教育回报率从 6. 6% ~ 7. 0% 变为 4. 8% ~ 6. 3% , 但是变动差异并不显著更重要的发现是我国农 教育回报率递增的特点仍然存在并且愈加明显 从 2004~ 2007年, 初中及以下教育的回报率从 3. 5% ~ 3. 9% 显著降低到 0% ~ 0. 9% , 而高中及以上教育的回报率从 10. 8% ~ 11. 7% 增 加到 13. 3% ~ 13. 8% 这种变动意味着, 当前经济对劳动者教育层次的要求在不断提高, 初中教育对提高劳动生产率和工资水平已经 没有作用 中国农 ; 教育回报率; 初中教育 G 718. 4 A 0517- 6611( 2010) 25- 14152 - 03 Changing ofR eturns to Education in RuralChina and Its Implications LIXiaofei ( In stitute o G eograph ic Sciences and N atural R esources Research, Ch inese A cademy o Sc ien ce, Be ijing 100101) Abstract Based on th e da ta obta ined by th e nationa l tracking survey in 2004 and 2007, th e paper inds out throu gh an extended M incer re gression m odel that the return s to edu ca tion o rural lab or orces em p loyed in nonagricultura l industry has experien ced a slight change rom 6. 6% - 7. 0% to 4. 8% - 6. 3% . A nother mi p ortant ind is tha t th e increasing trend o return s to education in rura l Ch ina still continues and is becom ing even obv ious. F rom 2004 to 2007, the returns to jun ior m iddle schoo l or b elow edu cation dropp ed sign i icantly rom 3. 5% - 3. 9% to 0% - 0. 9% , and the return to sen ior h igh an d above edu ca tion increased rom 10. 8% - 11. 7% to 13. 3% - 13. 8% . It is be lieved that, th ese changes mi ply tha t current economy h as prop osed an in creasing requ irem ent or th e edu cationa l leve l o labors and the current n in e yearcom pulsory edu cation has lose its role in mi prov ing both th e produ ctiv ity and w ages. Keywords Rural Ch ina; R eturn s to Edu ca tion; Jun ior H igh School E ducation , , , 1 , M incer, 2004 2007 2 2003, 50% , [ 1] , ,