高耗能行业全要素电能生产率测度与变动成因分解--基于Luenberger指数的研究.pdfVIP

耗能行业全要素电能生产率测度及变动成因分解 基于Luenberger 指数的研究 1 2 1 叶子菀 ，沈维春 ，柳瑞禹 1.武汉大学经济与管理学院，湖北 武汉 430072 ；2. 中国电力企业联合会，北京 100761 ） Total-factor Electric Energy Productivity Measurement and Variation Causes Decomposition Based on Non-parametric Luenberger Index Ye Zi-wan, Shen Wei-chun, Liu Rui-yu (1. Economics and Management School of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, 430072; 2. China Electricity Council, Beij ing, 100761) Abstract：This paper proposes total-factor electric energy 的正向作用。 2 ）对高耗能TFPPI 影响因素的结构 efficiency change index (TFEEPI) based on the 冲击表明，在短期约束下能源结构的负效应最大，在 combination of total-factor energy efficiency and 长期约束下，工业经济转型中产权结构的正效应显著。 Luenberger productivity index to measure the dynamic 关键词：全要素电能生产率变化指数；Luenberger 指 change of electric energy productivity in energy-intensive 数;技术改变；工业经济转型；能源结构 industries. The TFEEPI is divided into two parts about efficiency change and technical change. The results 0 引言 indicate that ：(1) The TFEEPI is regressing annually 中国已成为世界第二大能源消费经济体 mainly due to the non-positive effect brought by electric [1]。在中国的能源政策分析中，能源投入有效 energy change; (2) the impulse responses of TFEEPI to 性评价受到高度的关注与深入的研究。工业部 the impact of factors are different, under the short-run 门是生产过程中能源投入较大的部门，其能源 restriction, the negative effect of energy mix is the most 消费量从 1985 年 51068 万吨标准煤增加到了 obvious which follows behind property right structure 2010 年的 235252.1 万吨标准煤，年均增长率 under long-run restriction. 高达7.2%，尤其是进入2002 年后工业用能增 Keyword Total-factor electric energy efficiency change 长率一度超过10%。对工业总产值贡献度超过 index; Luenberger index; Technical change; Industrial 40%