具常数移出率和阶段结构的SIR传染病模型.docVIP

具常数移出率和阶段结构的SIR传染病模型 摘 要：对一类具常数移出率和阶段结构传染病模型进行了分析, 得到了传染病最终消除和成为地方病的阈值，当它小于1时，无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的，此时疾病消除.当它大于1时，地方病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的，此时传染病成为地方病. 关键词：传染病模型；饱和传染率；阶段结构；全局渐近稳定；局部渐近稳定 【abstract】a sir epidemic model with constant removal rate and two stage-structure is discussed. the threshold is obtained.if the threshold less than one, sufficient conditions for global asymptotic stability of the infection-free equilibrium is obtained, otherwise the endemic equilibrium is local asymptotic stability and permanence. 【key words】epidemic model; saturation; stage-structure; global asymptotic stability; threshold