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The Potential Geographic Distribution of Radopholus similis in China.pdf
维普资讯
Availableonlineatwww.sciencedirect.com
毋
AgriculturalSciencesinChina 嵇 ScienceDirect D
2007,6(12):1444—1449 ecember20o7
ThePotentialGeographicDistributionofRadop
WANGYun—sheng,,)(】EBing—yan,WAN Fang-hap,XIAOQi—uring2andDAILiang·ying2
JInstituteofVegetablesandFlowers,ChineseAcademyofAgriculturalSciences,BeUing100081,P.R.China
2CollegeofBio-SafetyScienceandTechnology,HunanAgriculturalUniversiyt,Changsha410128,P.R.China
3InstituteofPlantProtection(SouthSection),ChineseAcademyofAgriculturalSciences,Beijing100081,P.R.China
Theburrowingnematode(Radopholussimilis)isoneofthemainquarantinepestsinChina,andtheriskofinvasionposed
byhtisnematodeisbecomingmoreandmoreseriouswiht regardtohteinternationaltradebeingintensifieddaybyday.
ItisurgenttoanalysethepotentialgeographicdistributionofR.similisinChina.Geneticalgorithm forrule—setprediction
modelingsystem (GARP)andmaximumentropy(MAXENT),thetwonichemodelswhichhavebeenwidelyusedto
predictthepotentialgeographicdistributionofalienspecies,wereusedtopredicthtedistributionofR.similisinChina.
Wealsopresentedamodelcomparisonofhteresultsbyboththreshold—dependentandhtreshold—independentevaluations.
IthasbeenshownthathtetwonichemodelscouldbeusedtopredicthtepotentialdistributionofR.similisreliably.Th e
potentialdistributionofR.similisshouldbeconstrictedwithinhtesouthofChina,suchasHainan,Guangdong,Guangxi,
Fujian,Yunnanprovinces,nadTaiwanofChina.TheMAXENTgivesabetterpredictionhtanhtatofGARP.R.similiscan
beintroducedtoChinabyflowersandnursery stock’sinternationalshipping.ThepredictedresultsindicatethatR.
similiscanoccurin southcoastalraeaofChinaandYunnanProvince,whi
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