14. Simulation and Factory Physics.ppt

  1. 1、本文档共26页,可阅读全部内容。
  2. 2、原创力文档(book118)网站文档一经付费(服务费),不意味着购买了该文档的版权,仅供个人/单位学习、研究之用,不得用于商业用途,未经授权,严禁复制、发行、汇编、翻译或者网络传播等,侵权必究。
  3. 3、本站所有内容均由合作方或网友上传,本站不对文档的完整性、权威性及其观点立场正确性做任何保证或承诺!文档内容仅供研究参考,付费前请自行鉴别。如您付费,意味着您自己接受本站规则且自行承担风险,本站不退款、不进行额外附加服务;查看《如何避免下载的几个坑》。如果您已付费下载过本站文档,您可以点击 这里二次下载
  4. 4、如文档侵犯商业秘密、侵犯著作权、侵犯人身权等,请点击“版权申诉”(推荐),也可以打举报电话:400-050-0827(电话支持时间:9:00-18:30)。
查看更多
14. Simulation and Factory Physics.ppt

14. Simulation and Factory Physics @Risk: Harriet Hotel and Overbooking Problems Introduction to Simulation Methods of modeling uncertainty Monte Carlo simulation Managing production lines without variability Managing production lines with variability Throughput rate, flow time and inventory levels Line balancing Single machine stations vs. parallel machines Overbooking Problem Common practice in Difference between overbooking problems and newsvendor problems Harriet Hotel @Risk Simulation Settings. Menu: @Risk, Simulation, Settings @Risk Report Settings Results Window: Results, Report Settings Using the @Risk Simulation Add-in for Excel Open @Risk. (Excel will be opened for you.) Create your model and think about what are the Performance measures (output cells) Decision variables (under your control) Random variables (input cells) Use probability functions to represent your random variables Go to Insert | Function and select @Risk Distribution, or go to @Risk | Model | Define Distributions Identify the performance measures you wish to gather data on Go to @Risk | Add Output, or simply type in Riskoutput() You can see the list of your input and output cells by going to @Risk | Model | List of Outputs and Inputs Specify simulation settings: @Risk | Simulation | Settings Iterations: # iterations and # simulations sampling Start the simulation (@Risk | Simulation | Start) Analyze results Selecting a Distribution (p. 550) Quantifying Uncertainty Mean and Standard Deviation Shape (skewness) Min, mostlikely, max Discrete Probability Distributions: RiskIntUniform (x,y) RiskDuniform({x1,x2,…,xn}) RiskDiscrete ({x1,x2,…,xn}, {p1,p2,…,pn}) RiskBinomial(n,p) Continuous Probability Distributions: RiskUniform(x,y) RiskNormal(m,s) RiskLogNorm(m,s) RiskTriang(min, most likely, max) Analyzing Simulation Results After the simulation runs, the Results Window will automatically open, showing summary statistics for the output cells and the input cells if yo

文档评论(0)

gshshxx + 关注
实名认证
内容提供者

该用户很懒,什么也没介绍

1亿VIP精品文档

相关文档