组合预测法在城市生活需水量预测中的应用.pdfVIP

第 1 9 卷第3 期 水 资源 与水 工程 学报 Vol. 19 No . 3 2 0 0 8 年 6 月 Journal of Water Resources Water Engineering Jun . , 20 0 8 　 1,2 1 1,2 王颖 , 楼章华, 曹欣荣 ( 1. , 310027; 2. , 311231) : , , ( 1, 1) GM , , , , : ( 1, 1) ; ; ; GM : 991. 31: : 1672-6 3 ( 2008) 03-0055-03 T U A X Application of combined prediction method into forecast of urban water consumption 1, 2 1 1, 2 WANG Ying , LOU Zhang-hua , CAO Xin-rong ( 1. , , 310027, ; Zhej iang Univ ersity H angzhou Zhej iang China 2. , , 311231, ) Zhej iang Tongj i College of Science and Technology H angzhou Zhej iang China Abstract: Planning the distribution of w ater resources rationally are the requirements of urban development. This paper predicted the urban w ater consumption by a model combining the GM( 1, 1) model w ith the one variable linear regressive equation As a result the combined mod-. , el dealt w ith the effects of various factors, improved the accuracy of prediction, provided scientific supports for the planning of w ater resources. : ( 1, 1) ; ; ; Ke words gray GM model one variable linear regressive equation combined model ur- ban w ater consumption , 0　引　言 , , 1　灰色预测