基于线性矩法的广东极端降水区域频率分析.pdfVIP

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2013, 2, 7-13 doi:10.12677/jwrr.2013.21002 Published Online February 2013 (/journal/jwrr.html) Regional Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall in * Guangdong Using L-Moments Approaches 1 1# 2 1 Qiang Huang , Zishen Chen , Zengmei Liu , Zhanming Liu 1Department of Water Resource and Environment, Geography and Planning School, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 2Department of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, South China University Technology, Guangzhou Email: zhongda320@163.com, #eesczs@ Received: Nov. 21st th st , 2012; revised: Dec. 9 , 2012; accepted: Dec. 21 , 2012 Abstract: Based on the 1951-2010 observed precipitation datas of annual maximum daily precipitation in 24 meteorological stations of Guangdong province, the regional frequency of extreme rainfall was analyzed us- ing L-moments approaches. According to the main factors of rainfall formation, the whole Guangdong was divided into six subregions, which located in the Pearl River Delta, Beijiang River basin, Dongjiang River basin, Xijiang River basin, Hanjiang River basin and eastern coastal region, and western coastal region, re- spectively. Except the Beijiang River basin with the Kappa distribution, other five subregions all select the GLO distribution for their regional frequency distributions. The growth curve show a high reliability in quan- tiles of 500 return years in the Pearl River Delta, Beijiang River basin, Hanjiang River basin and eastern coastal regio