《Assessing the Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation of the Past Present and Future》.pdfVIP

VOL．28NO．5 Chinese 90th Collection 2014 MeteorologicalSocietyAnniversarySpecial the oftheAtlanticMeridional AssessingStability Overturning CirculationofthePast．Present．andFuture LIU LIU Weih(刘伟)andZhengyu2，3(刘征宇) 1 Institution Scripps ofOceanography，University0|California，SanDiego，LaJolla，CA92093，USA 2Laboratory0|Climate，Ocean}andAtmosphereStudies}PekingUniversity，Beijing100081}China 3 Climatic Center{otResearch．UniversityofWisconsin—MadisonlMadison}WI53706}USA form final March (ReceivedJanuary16，2014；in 11，2014) ABSTRACT This isareviewoftherecent ofresearchesonthe oftheAtlanticmeridional paper development stability willreviewrecentstudiesthat tobestassessthe overturningcirculation(AMOC)．Inparticular，we attempt oftheAMOCinthe future a indicatorrelatedtothefreshwater stability past，present，andbyusingstability theAMOC．Thesestudiesfurtherillustratea biasinthestate—of-the-art transportby potentiallysystematic circulation whichtheAMOCsseemtobeover-stabilized atmosphere—oceangeneral models(AOGCMs)，in relativetothatintherealworld．ThiscommonmodelbiasintheAMOC is a stabilitycontributed，partly,to commonbiasassociatedwiththedouble moststate—of-the— zone(ITCZ)in