基于凯恩斯消费函数的我国城乡居民消费差异实证分析.pdfVIP

　第 24 卷第 6 期 统计研究 Vol. 24 , No6 2007 年 6 月 Statistical Research June 2007 　 基于凯恩斯消费函数的我国城乡居民 消费差异实证分析 李　武 　　内容提要 :本文根据 1991 —2005 年间我国城乡居民人均收入与消费支出统计数据 ,依据凯恩斯消费函数 ,利用 EVIEWS 软件对计量模型进行了参数估计和检验 ,并对所得的分析结果作了经济意义的解释。同时 ,通过建立城乡 居民的消费收入模型 ,对城乡居民的消费进行对比分析 ,得出了我国农村居民不仅基本消费水平低于城镇居民 ,而 且其样本期平均边际消费倾向亦低于城镇居民的结论 ,并相应提出一些政策建议。 关键词 :消费函数 ;城乡居民 ;消费差异 ( ) 中图分类号:C812 　　　文献标识码 :A 　　　文章编号 :1002 - 4565 2007 06 - 0067 - 03 The Empirical Analysis on Consumption Disparity between Urban and Rural Households in China Based on Keynes ’Consumption Function Theory Li Wu Abstract :The paper researches consumption disparity between urban and rural households in China according to Keynes’s consumption function theory. Mainly using per capita income and consumption expenditure data of urban and rural households of China from 1991 to 2005 and EVIEWS software to make parameter estimation and test of the econometric model ,it compares the consumption behavior of urban and rural households and argues that not only the basic consumption level of rural households is lower than that of urban households ,but also the average marginal consumption intention is lower than that of urban households. Therefore ,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions according to the findings. Key words :consumption function ; urban and rural households ; consumption disparity 收入假说 ,之后有杜森贝里的相对收入假说、弗里德 　　一、引言 曼的持久收入假说和莫迪里安尼的生命周期