中国汽油价格的发展趋势及影响因素.docVIP

学 业 论 文 The Price Changing Trend and Influencing Factors of Gasoline in China 中国汽油价格的发展趋势及影响因素 完成日期 2014 年 6 月 8 日The Price Changing Trend and Influencing Factors of Gasoline in China Abstract Since 2002, the growth of international oil price is going up sharply. The oil prices in different areas have changed at the same time. According to some experts, Chinese gasoline price is affected by perplexing-related factors. This paper indicates the price changing trend of China and the world; reports the results of a study on the influencing factors. The study used the prices of oil in the past years to find the changing trend and used the ISM (Interpretative Structural Modeling) to analysis the factors affecting gasoline price. The study found that the gasoline price was going up and would not slow down in a short time. In addition, the international crude oil price is the highest related factor affecting Chinese gasoline price. 1. Introduction Oil price has always been an issue in any period for its great importance. In every country, people often talk about oil price when gathering together because it becomes a common topic related to our lives. Nowadays, it seems that oil price is controlled by a complex net of factors. In order to find the connections between the gasoline price and the influencing factors, the important factors need to be studied. By building the ISM to analysis factors, we believe that the immediate causes are the price of international oil, the supply of petroleum product, the demand and the competition of companies. The underlying causes are the environment-protecting policy, the import, the reserve system, the bunker surcharge and smuggle. The deeper reasons include exiting alternative energy sources and international trade. The price of crude oil is the primary one (Wang, 2012). We all know it will be different in different place. For example, in Sichuan, the immediate causes are the demand, supply and competition of the oil market.