Precipitation assessment of Indian summer monsoon based on CMIP5 climate simulations英文资料.pdfVIP

Arab J Geosci (2015) 8:4379–4392 DOI 10.1007/s12517-014-1518-4 ORIGINAL PAPER Precipitation assessment of Indian summer monsoon based on CMIP5 climate simulations Zaheer Ahmad Babar Xie-fei Zhi Ge Fei Received: 28 November 2013 /Accepted: 23 June 2014 /Published online: 23 July 2014 # Saudi Society for Geosciences 2014 Abstract Response of Indian summer monsoon (ISM) to the Introduction historical data of 13 selected models of Coupled Model Inter- comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) suite has been investi- Monsoon precipitation has been playing an imperative role gated by considering the annual precipitation cycle, spatial in the life and economy of Indian subcontinent since the distribution of rainfall, monsoon index, and domain along time immemorial. When in full swing, it has the potential with wavelet and empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analy- to become a serious peril to life and property and cause sis. The domain of interest focuses on an area between 5°N to real devastation (Rasul et al. 2004, 2008). All this has 45°N and 45°E to 95°E. NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, Global created a vivid interest in monsoon precipitation analyses Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) and CMPA dataset among meteorologists and researchers. The term monsoon are utilized for the period from 1955 to 2004. When compared has been used in many previous studies (Yin 1949; with the given models, MIROC stands out to be the best suited Huschke 1959). Latter monsoon was characterized by dataset for monsoon season in Indian subcontinent. An en- Ramage as the annual reversal of prevailing surface winds semble of all the models has also been considered, and it (Ramage 1971). Presently, it is categorized in three ways: p