Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages-Methodologies and Challenges英文资料.pdfVIP

This article has been accepted for inclusion in a future issue of this journal. Content is final as presented, with the exception of pagination. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS 1 Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages: Methodologies and Challenges Prepared by the Task Force on Understanding, Prediction, Mitigation, and Restoration of Cascading Failures of the IEEE PES Computing and Analytical Methods Subcommittee (CAMS) M. Vaiman (Lead), K. Bell, Y. Chen, B. Chowdhury, I. Dobson, P. Hines, M. Papic, S. Miller, and P. Zhang Abstract— Cascading outages can cause large blackouts, and of power transfers, and the automatic and manual system proce- a variety of methods are emerging to study this challenging dures. The initiating events for a cascading outage can include topic. The Task Force on Understanding, Prediction, Mitigation, a wide variety of exogenous disturbances such as high winds, and Restoration of Cascading Failures, under the IEEE PES Computer Analytical Methods Subcommittee (CAMS), seeks to lightning, natural disasters (hurricanes, earthquakes, etc.), con- consolidate and review the progress of the field towards methods tact between conductors and vegetation or human error. More- and tools of assessing the risk of cascading failure. This paper over, there are many mechanisms by which subsequent outages discusses the challenges of cascading failure and summarizes can propagate beyond the initial outages. Generally, the depen- a variety of state-of-the-art analysis and simulation methods, dent component outages occur when relays or humans trip cir- including analyzing observed data, and simulations rel