Selection of Probability Distributions with a Case Study on Extreme Oder River Discharges.pdfVIP

Selection of Probability Distributions with a Case Study on Extreme Oder River Discharges.pdf

  1. 1、本文档共6页,可阅读全部内容。
  2. 2、原创力文档(book118)网站文档一经付费(服务费),不意味着购买了该文档的版权,仅供个人/单位学习、研究之用,不得用于商业用途,未经授权,严禁复制、发行、汇编、翻译或者网络传播等,侵权必究。
  3. 3、本站所有内容均由合作方或网友上传,本站不对文档的完整性、权威性及其观点立场正确性做任何保证或承诺!文档内容仅供研究参考,付费前请自行鉴别。如您付费,意味着您自己接受本站规则且自行承担风险,本站不退款、不进行额外附加服务;查看《如何避免下载的几个坑》。如果您已付费下载过本站文档,您可以点击 这里二次下载
  4. 4、如文档侵犯商业秘密、侵犯著作权、侵犯人身权等,请点击“版权申诉”(推荐),也可以打举报电话:400-050-0827(电话支持时间:9:00-18:30)。
  5. 5、该文档为VIP文档,如果想要下载,成为VIP会员后,下载免费。
  6. 6、成为VIP后,下载本文档将扣除1次下载权益。下载后,不支持退款、换文档。如有疑问请联系我们
  7. 7、成为VIP后,您将拥有八大权益,权益包括:VIP文档下载权益、阅读免打扰、文档格式转换、高级专利检索、专属身份标志、高级客服、多端互通、版权登记。
  8. 8、VIP文档为合作方或网友上传,每下载1次, 网站将根据用户上传文档的质量评分、类型等,对文档贡献者给予高额补贴、流量扶持。如果你也想贡献VIP文档。上传文档
查看更多
Selection of Probability Distributions with a Case Study on Extreme Oder River Discharges

Selection of Probability Distributions with a Case Study on Extreme Oder River Discharges P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, P.O. Box 5048, 2600 GA Delft, The Nether- lands J.M. van Noortwijk M.T. Duits HKV Consultants, P.O. Box 2120, 8203 AC Lelystad, The Netherlands ABSTRACT: In design, one often needs to estimate extreme quantiles for use as design values. Fitting prob- ability distributions to data is widely used for estimating these extreme quantiles. Due to little data, a difficult problem is often to select the type of distribution that can best be used. It is also seldom possible to derive the exact probability distribution theoretically. Common probability distributions in civil engineering are for in- stance normal, lognormal, gamma, Gumbel, Weibull, etc. Rather than choosing one particular probability distribution a priori, we propose to fit various probability distributions to the observations and to attach weights to these distributions according to how good the fits are. Existing methods are reviewed, extended and applied to the annual maximal river discharges of the Oder river in Central Europe. Finally, the methods will be compared with Monte Carlo simulation experiments. 1 INTRODUCTION 2 REVIEW OF THE METHODS In many areas of civil engineering, the question In this section, the two methods for determining the arises which probability distribution should be used weight factors of probability distributions are de- to model the load and resistance. Instead of choosing scribed. one particular probability distribution, it is also pos- 2.1 Bayes factors sible to consider various probability distrib

文档评论(0)

yaobanwd + 关注
实名认证
文档贡献者

该用户很懒,什么也没介绍

1亿VIP精品文档

相关文档