内蒙古牧区肉羊产业化经营模式的研究.pdfVIP

摘 要 畜牧业是我国农业经济重要的组成部分，内蒙古自治区是以畜牧业为支柱的畜牧 业大区，内蒙古牧区肉羊产业又是内蒙古畜牧业的龙头产业。牧区肉羊产业无论从经 济学，还是从文化学、民族学角度来看都具有巨大的价值。 本文首先全面阐述了内蒙古肉羊产业对内蒙古畜牧业以及内蒙古经济的重要性， 并进一步测算了牧区肉羊产业对内蒙古经济的贡献度。并在次基础上，使用了 ARIMA 模型对内蒙古未来五年肉羊存栏量进行趋势预测，得出未来五年肉羊存栏下降会对内 蒙古畜牧业产值增长带来负面效应的结论。 其次，本文根据对内蒙古牧区的实际调研情况，通过对牧民肉羊交易经营模式的 分析，总结出内蒙古牧区肉羊经营模式的现状，并对现状进行分析，揭示出内蒙古牧 区现状的问题和不足。 第三，本文对内蒙古牧区肉羊的产业链进行分析，揭示了内蒙古牧区肉羊产业链 条的组织模式和形成方式。并将其分类成横向模式和纵向模式以及综合性模式。 第四，本文对内蒙古牧区肉羊产业化经营模式形成的动力机制进行分析，分别找 出形成横向和纵向模式的原因。 第五，本文比较了几种内蒙古牧区肉羊产业化经营模式，以交易费用理论和产业 组织理论为基础，多层次、多角度进行综合分析评价。 第六，根据分析结果得出结论。 关键词：内蒙古；牧区；肉羊产业；产业化经营 Research on Business Pattern of Sheep Industrial in Inner Mongolia Pastoral Area Abstract Animal husbandry is an important part of agricultural economy in China. Animal husbandry is comparatively more developed in Inner Mongolia, and the mutton industry is the largest one in Inner Mongolia. The mutton which is come from pastoral has enormous value no matter based on the perspective of economics or from the culture and ethnology. Firstly, a comprehensive exposition of the importance of the Inner Mongolia sheep industry of Inner Mongolia, livestock and Inner Mongolias economy, and further measured the contribution of the sheep industry in pastoral areas of Inner Mongo lias economy. In the second based on the use of the ARIMA model for trend forecasts for the next five years sheep breeding stock in Inner Mongolia, come to the decline would Inner Mongolia livestock output growth have a negative effect conclusions sheep herds in the next five years. Secondly, according to the actual research situation in pastoral areas of Inner Mongolia, herders of sheep trading business model analysis, summed