变形监测拟合预测模型的分析及其优化.pdf

关 键 字：变形监测；拟合预测；相关度；步长；组合模型；GMDH 算法 研究类型：应用研究 Subject ：The Analysis and Optimization of Deformation Monitoring Fitting and Predictive Model Specialty ：Geodesy and Survey Engineering Name ：*** (Signature) ________ ___ Instructor ：*** (Signature) ABSTRACT Data processing is an important content of deformation monitoring. The research of the theory and method for data processing of deformation monitoring is very important significance. Adjustment of deformation monitoring data processing method is mainly divided into two parts processing and fitting prediction. This article mainly aims at the fitting prediction of deformation monitoring part analyzing and researching. The main research contents and results are as follows: Respectively discusses some common methods, such as regression analysis, time series and grey analysis method and so on. Considering arised some problems in the process of deformation monitoring when applying these models , different methods are all improved. (1) By using the theory of elementary function , defines a correlation analysis method and correlation coefficient for using for analysis and evaluation of influence factors and the deformation value of correlation. In order to improve the efficiency and quality of the model. To avoid the influence of subjective factors in the related analysis (2) At the model parameter estimation, defines the variable - step length. By choosing appropriate step observation data, increase flexibility when doing fitting prediction to get higher precision . With different deformation monitoring example of each method i