我国主要资源利用变化的多尺度分析和其预测.pdf

Abstract of balanceof and withthe national Along developmem economy,thesupply high-speed demandofresourcebecomesaserious inChinaBasedonthewavelet problem analysis，empirical the mode forecast thesis multi·scale decomposition EMD anddynamic method，theanalyses characteristicsofarablelandand fluctuation，and prediction energy givesdynamic equations ofthe tocurrentsituation．Theresult shows： according study cultivatedareainchinahas13 and characteristictimescales． 1 The years，19years27years are and2000．Itisobserved Themainmutation pointsattheyearofl950，1960，1978，1985，1992 thatnational di