Probabilistic prediction of green roof energy performance under parameter uncertainty》.pdf

Energy 77 (2014) 667e674 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Energy journal homepage: /locate/energy Probabilistic prediction of green roof energy performance under parameter uncertainty * Min (Max) Liu Department of Civil Engineering, Catholic University of America, 620 Michigan Ave., N.E., Washington, DC 20064, USA a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Studies on the quantification of energy benefits of a green roof have so far treated its parameter values Received 15 July 2014 only deterministically. In reality, however, these values may scatter over different ranges due to the Received in revised form inherent variation of vegetation and soil properties and also because of the unavoidable deviation from 14 September 2014 designated values during construction and/or actual operation of a green roof. Under such parameter Accepted 15 September 2014 Available online 7 October 2014 uncertainty, green roof performance can no longer be predicted deterministically but rather probabi- listically. The present study attempts to integrate the whole building energy simulation with a para- metric uncertainty analysis. An example office building is used to systematically examine how the Keywords: Green roof cooling and heating energy