WORKSHOP-BrunelloTirozzi.docVIP

WORKSHOP Asymptotic Analysis and the Physics of Atmosphere and Ocean Department of Physics University La Sapienza 6-10 ?September??2004, Rome, Italy CONFERENCE The main aim of the workshop is to have a constructive discussion among theoreticians which elaborate mathematical models of some atmosphere and ocean phenomena and the expert of the field working on the same arguments for elaborating new models. SCOPE There will be a presentation of various models describing the evolution of the center of tropical cyclones. The possibility of predicting the evolution of the center on the base of its initial positions is shown. The use of the Shallow Water equation and of other models based on Taylor expansion around the center and on the Maslov conjecture about the nature of the singularity of the wind field will be examined. The researchers working on the satellite data will explain how to get the necessary measures for applying the models. A new model of the wind waves which takes into account explicitly the non uniformity of the bottom and of its influence on the governing equations will presented. This considers the structure of the free surface problem intrinsic to the air-water system and reduces the corresponding set of PDE to two equations for the elevation of the sea surface and for the velocity potential by means of the pseudo-differential operators. The scientific operators working on the problem of wave statistics of Italian seas and on the coast evolution will contribute describing the main features of the wave dynamics. The numerical solutions of the above models will be discussed. The statistical analysis for forecast and reconstruction of the most important atmospheric and sea time series is also a central issue of the workshop. A particular space is devoted to the theory and application of neural networks to the forecast and reconstruction of extreme events and relevant physical variables. TOPICS Asymptotic expansion Tropical Cyclones Shallow water