TheOrestadTrafficPassengerDemandModel,Version5.0.docVIP

The ?restad Traffic Passenger Demand Model, version 5.0 Goran Vuk1, Christian Overgaard Hansen2 and Otto Anker Nielsen2 1Danish Transport Research Institute; 2Centre for Traffic and Transport at DTU Key words: travel matrices, disaggregate data, VOT, tour modelling Abstract. Vuk and Hansen (Validating the passenger traffic model for Copenhagen, Transportation, Volume 33, Issue 4, 392. 2006) have validated the present version of the ?restad traffic model (version 4.0 from summer 2000) and concluded that a major drawback of the model is outdated base 1992 matrices. With respect to planning of the alignment of the Metro’s phase 4, the so called Metro City Ring, a group of clients headed by the Ministry of Energy and Transport wished to upgrade OTM 4.0 to a new version, ver. 5.0, where a number of improvements were proposed. Most importantly the OTM 5.0 includes new base 2004 matrices. The main aim of the paper is to provide a description of the new base matrices as well as changes in the model estimations. Introduction The ?restad Traffic Model (OTM) is an operative traffic model for the Greater Copenhagen Area (GCA). The OTM consists of demand and assignment models for both passenger and freight transport. The first version of the model was developed in 1994. Since then the model has been continuously improved, latest in summer 2000. Improvement of the model version from 2000 into OTM ver. 5.0 started in January 2005 and the model is expected to be finalised in September 2006. In the two year period three main types of improvements have been performed. First, base matrices were updated from 1992 to 2004. Second, the demand sub-models were re-estimated. Finally, changes in the model zone structure, road and public transport networks and zone data were made. The main aim of the paper is to present the new base 2004 matrices (chapter 2) and the estimation results of the passenger demand sub-models (chapter 3). new base matrices Introduction OTM 5.0 base trave