Estimation,Error,andExpectation.ppt

Event, Estimation, Error, and Expectation The More Extreme Your Are, The Less Probable You Are Your Deviation Score Is Your Error Score The More You Deviate From μ,The Less Likely Your Error Think Many Samples Sample Error of Estimation ? With Size Three Distributions Standard Error Of The (Sample) Mean Sample Size and SEM The SEM Is The SD Of The Sampling Distribution Computing The SEM/SD Of The Sampling Distribution The SEM/SD Is Determined By Two Factors Computing The SEM/SD Of The Sampling Distribution Sample Means have Probabilities Just Like Raw Scores Error of Estimation The 5 Es of Experimentation Every Sample Has a Z I, Anthropologist I, Anthropologist I, Anthropologist I, Anthropologist I, Anthropologist What Do You Do If You Don’t Know σ? Beer And Western Civilization What Do You Do If You Don’t Know σ? My Ugly Cousin An Estimated SEM Has A Corresponding Estimated Sampling Distribution There Is A Separate Estimated Sampling Distribution For Every Sample N The t-Table Is A Table Of Tables The t-Table Going From Sample To Population Free One-Size Fits All Pants For The Men of UMD * Muuuuuuuuuu Assume each one of you is a Sample of N=1: Your height (Xi) is the mean height of your sample Your height (mean height) is an Estimation of the Class (Population) Mean height (μ, 67.6 inches) How much Error will your height (mean) have as an Estimator of The class Mean height (μ)? The Standard Deviation (4.1 inches) is a measure of the Expected Error of Estimation 68% of the time you height will be off by no more that 4.1” As an Estimator of μ (67.6 inches) Deviation Error Standard Deviation Standard Error Average Deviation Average Error Expected Deviation Expected Error The probability of your height is the: Probability of your Deviation Probability of your Error of Estimation 95% of the time your Error of Estimation will be 2*SD or less 4.1” * 2 = 8.2 The farther off (Error) a Sample is (from μ): The Less frequent the Sample The Less frequ